Dr. Fernando Scarpati
“In our increasingly competitive world, attaining success depends on a deliberate recognition and measurement of the external and internal risk-value factors affecting your company in the mid-long term.
Although the financial crisis was partly driven by inaccurate risk assessment in valuation practices, the established valuation industry does not go beyond the limits of the regulatory guidelines. As such, it still conducts basic analytic approaches without reflecting the complexity of today’s markets and business drivers.
Our approach identifies and assesses the full range of internal and external drivers and considers all possible scenarios using advanced probabilistic and uncertainty analysis. We are able to eliminate forecast’s bias while reflecting the true volatility of asset values as well as the likelihood of different outputs. As a consequence, we can effectively support our clients in complex business decisions.
Today, institutional investors tend to select projects / companies with Entrepreneurs / Managers who previously worked on an independent valuation and are able to rationally measure the risks involved in the long term. Our advanced valuation provides Entrepreneurs with the necessary tools to formulate a communication approach that shows investors their strategy is world-class”.
High Quality Products & Services
Advanced Multidimensional Valuation
For Investors, Private Equities and Entrepreneurs not only looking for an independent valuation but also an advanced analysis of the business from every angle. Macro economic, market, strategic, technological and financial drivers impacting the business are measured using probabilistic and uncertainty analysis. Long term forecasts are stochastic and driven by volatile variables. Our valuations are aimed at improving both value and strategic decisions at any stage of the business. It is also for businesses committed to protect and create value.
We assess “Environmental and Social Impact” as an extra dimension to the traditional ones, risk and return: Impact and Value are not separated entities and we also assess impact as a mean to identify business opportunities and increase financial returns. Since social and environmental performance is often linked to other aspects of business performance, measuring such performance can be quite useful for identifying areas in which to strengthen investee business strategy and operations.
Advanced Financial and Risk Modelling
For Private Equities, Companies, Start-ups CEOs, COOs, CFOs, CROs, and analysts needing support in the elaboration of advanced Monte Carlo based stochastic models aimed at managing business variables and risks at a much deeper level. Our models analyse a business from every angle. Macro economic, market, strategic, technological and financial drivers impacting the business are measured using probabilistic and uncertainty analysis. Long term forecasts are stochastic and driven by volatile variables. Our Models are aimed at improving both value and strategic decisions at any stage of the business. It is also for businesses committed to protect and create value.
Bitcoin - ICO Valuation & Risk Analysis
Our valuation is aimed at measuring the value for shareholders, Investors, stakeholders and society. It will allow management to assess decisions, trade-offs and sacrifices into their business model. It leads to multidimensional decision-making and actions. It is the product of the processes of connectivity and multidimensional thinking in the organization. It is therefore not just about the valuation report, but about the process of the organization’s unique approach to value creation. The ultimate goal is to enable investors to make more efficient and effective decisions. The cryptocurrency in many cases is compared to IPOs. However, upon detailed examination, many of these parallels are false and lead to valuation practices base on “fear of missing out” (FOMO) while it should be based on project development forecasts and the nature of the token.
For Companies, Shareholders and Stakeholders looking to monitor and create long term value by measuring the variables in all the dimensions of the business which go beyond traditional financial reporting. Today, an organization creates value not only for its shareholders but also for the society as a whole by means of a sustainable strategy. This approach goes beyond the value reflected in the annual financial statements and includes the creation of intangible value and the impact of an organization’s activity on society as a whole. It also includes a measurement, or at least a description, of how these impacts influence long-term shareholder value and improve decisions accordingly.
Strategic Decisions & Value Scorecard
For Companies, Shareholders and Stakeholders looking to monitor and create long term value by measuring all internal and external variables impacting the business and its strategy. Our Advanced financial and strategic reporting / value balanced scorecard is aimed at measuring and monitoring the shareholders value of the company’s strategic decisions. It shows how the company’s value and strategy is affected by market changes and allows management to adjust decisions and anticipate shortfalls while planning long term value creation and by defining KPIs
Our Main Sectors
Our major sectors include but are not limited to the following
After the financial crisis there is an increasing focus on robust valuations, driven in part by increased regulation and oversight but largely from investors who are looking for greater transparency. The problem is that most external valuation providers are not prepared to provide advanced valuations for decision making. Our advanced risk analysis based on Monte Carlo simulation allow to show Portfolio Risk under a much deeper perspective: Since Private Equities cannot diversify risk completely given the few number of investments they hold, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) cannot be well applied and risk might be underestimated. For this reason, we determine the risk profile of each investment in terms of Standard Deviation, Kurtosis, and Skewness allowing GPs a better tool for portfolio optimization.
Oil and Gas
We offer many services to support the decision making process of the oil and gas sector. Our advanced Monte Carlo based techniques allow us to use probabilistic scenarios according to different studies, site location, well characteristics, etc. Drilling uncertainty, drill program planning. We reflect uncertainties in schedules, discoveries, and finance and resource constraints using probabilistic analysis based on history, statistics, prospects and previous studies. Price forecasting using volatilities and standard deviations based on history and market expectations, etc.
We offer many services to support the decision-making process of the hospitality industry. Our advanced Monte Carlo based techniques allow us to deliver strategic, economic and risk modelling solutions as well as advanced quantitative approaches. We identify and measure all market drivers affecting the performance and value of the target. We assess the value of each division detailing: Rooms, Food and Beverages, Spa, Casinos, and Other Activities. We also Position the Hotel and its peers according to Rating, Price and other variables in order to determine its underdeveloped potential for forecasting and decision making purpose.
Bio Technology & Pharmaceutical
We offer many services to support the decision making process of the Biotech and Pharmaceutical Industry during all its stages of development (fundraising, pre-clinical trial , clinical trial, commercial start up, early stage, mature stage, etc). Our advanced Monte Carlo based techniques allow us to deliver valuation, strategic, economic and risk modelling solutions as well as advanced quantitative approaches.
We offer many services to support the decision making process of the Consumer Goods industry projects and companies. Our advanced Monte Carlo based techniques allow us to model complex scenarios where we combine cash flow, uncertainty analysis, real options, etc). Our valuations include: Current Value, Restructured added value (operational turnover), Financial restructured added value, Strategic Value, Synergic added Value, Brand and Intangible valuation, etc.
We offer many services to support the decision making process of renewable energy projects at different stages of development. As the Renewable Energy Industry matures, investors become more professional and demand more sophisticated analysis leading to better investment decisions. In times when prices for renewable energy continue to decline and market integration steadily increases, accurate valuations and financial planning is becoming more important.
We have 300+ clients across 30+ countries
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78 York Street
London, UK, W1H 1DP
6 Place de l’Université, 1205, Geneva, Switzerland
6 Sir William Reid Street, Gzira, Malta